NFL Week 9 Six Pack

By Spike Measer 11/2/11

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-8)

Bucs coming off bye week after losing in London to Bears Oct 23…T Bay is 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS…TB has not scored more than 26 points in a game this season…and has scored more than 26 points in a game only 13 times in their last 87 games dating back to 2006 season!...have split season series with New Orleans each of the last three seasons (beat Saints 26-20 Oct 16 as 6 ½ pt dog)…5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS…Saints had less than 300 yards of offense in loss at St Louis last week…only second time in eight games they gained less than 450 yards…Saints 17-19-1 as home favorite since Brees joined club in 2006…New Orleans is 5-0 SU & ATS following a loss dating back to Wk 5 of 2010 season  

NY Jets @ Buffalo (-1 ½)

New York 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS…Jets 3-1 SU & ATS versus Bills with Sanchez at helm…Jets allowed more than 20 points in a game only four times in the 2010 season…have allowed more than 20 points five times thru seven games already this season…Jets coming off bye…0-2 SU & ATS off bye week under Rex…Buffalo 5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS…Bills had accumulated just 4 sacks thru first six games, registered 9 last week against Washington…Buffalo has scored at least 31 points in four of six games…Bills defensive unit leads NFL with 14 interceptions…Buffalo will play the Jets twice this month (11/6, 11/27)

Denver @ Oakland (-8)

Denver 2-5 SU & ATS this season…in last four games versus Oakland, Broncos are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS…have not defeated Oakland since Week 3 of 2009 season…will play only one home game this month (Thurs 11/17)…Denver has gained less than 320 yards in six of seven games…Broncos defense allowing 68% completions, 14 aerial TD’s…Oakland 7-1 SU & ATS last eight divisional games…Raiders 3-1 SU & ATS at home this season…playing third consecutive home game, although had bye last week…Raiders have committed at least 7 penalties in six of seven games…have drawn double digit flags three times

NY Giants @ New England (-8)

Big Blue 5-2 SU, 3-3-1 ATS…after playing just one road game in the month of October, Giants will be the visitor in three of four November games…G-Men’s 5 wins have come against teams with combined record of 7-28…New Yorkers leading in NFL sacks with 26…Giants allowing 4.7 yards per carry…Eli’s 13 TD strikes have been distributed among seven players…NEP 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS…off a loss New England is 11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS since 2008 (lost last week at Pitt)…Pats held under 20 points last week, first time since Week 9 for 2010 season…top four rushers for Pats all averaging over 4 yards per carry…Tom Brady has thrown at least 2 touchdown passes in 19 of his last 24 games (incl ’10) playoff)…four receivers have at least 4 TD grabs

Green Bay (-6) @ San Diego

Packers 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS…Green bay has scored at least 24 points in every game this season…Aaron Rodgers has thrown at least 3 TD passes in 8 of his last 11 games (incl 2010 post season)…Rodgers 107 TD passes, 35 interceptions for career, a better than 3:1 ratio…San Diego 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS…Chargers have yet to reach 30 point mark in a game this season (did it in half their games last season)…SD is plus 8 mins in TOP, but minus 5 in turnover margin…Bolts play five of next seven games at home (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS last 11 at Qualcomm)…Phil Rivers has thrown two picks in 5 of 7 games this season…has thrown for at least 250 yards in 18 of last 23 games…SD has 7 players with at least 11 receptions…top two pass catchers (number of receptions) are RB’s (Tolbert & Mathews)

Chicago @ Philadelphia (-7 ½)

This is fifth straight season these two teams have met (last 3 at Soldier Field)…previous four decided by 5 points or less…Eagles have been favorite each time (1-3 SU & ATS)…Chicago coming off bye week…Bears are 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS…Chicago stop unit allowing 65% completions, 5.2 yards per carry…Philly 3-4 SU & ATS…Mike Vick averaging 8.1 yards per carry and per pass…five players have at least 20 receptions…Eagles +7 mins in TOP…Philly playing second of three straight at home…Philadelphia has scored at least 24 points in 11 of last 16 regular season games…Eagles 4-6 ATS last 10 as home favorite