Published on 09/22/11
By Spike Measer 9/21/11
New England -9 @ Buffalo
Bill Belichick 20-3 SU all-time vs Buffalo…Tom Brady 17-1 vs Bills (39 TD’s, 12 INT’s)…Buffalo has not defeated the Patriots since Week 1 of the 2003 season…Buffalo 0-4-1 ATS last 5 games in Orchard Park…Both Brady and Fitzpatrick have thrown 7 TD’s and just 1 pick thru 2 games this season…Both teams have put points on the board in 7 of 8 quarters of play…Bills have not allowed a point in the first quarter…Patriots have not allowed a point in the second quarter…New England has scored at least 31 points in 10 consecutive regular season games…Pats are 13-5 ATS last 18 regular season games
NY Giants @ Philadelphia (NL)
Eli Manning 5 TD’s, 6 INT’s last three games in Philly (NYG 1-2 ATS) Giants have scored exactly 17 points last two games here…are -4 in turnovers…Big Blue D allowing 5.3 yards per play…Giants just 6 of 25 on third down (24%)…New Yorkers have not scored a point in the fourth quarter…Eagles RB LeSean McCoy averaging 6+ yds per touch (33 rush, 6 rec)…Eagles have 9 sacks thru 2 games, but D allowing 5.1 yards per play…this is Philly home opener (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS at home in 2010)…Eagles allowed 151 yds and 14 pts in 4th qtr vs Atl.
Detroit -3 ½ @ Minnesota
Lions have won six consecutive regular season games (6-0 ATS) Detroit is 2-0 SU and ATS this year, with both games going over the total…Lions have been a road favorite only four times in the last ten years (0-4 ATS)…Detroit has outscored their opposition 40-16 in first half…five players have at least 5 receptions, and all are averaging over 10 yards per catch…O-Line has not allowed a sack…Vikings were 0-3 as home dog last year…McNabb struggling so far- 1 Td, 1 INT, 55% completions…Adrian Peterson has touched the ball on 45 of the Vikings 108 offensive snaps (41%)…AP averaging 5+ ypc…Minny has been outscored 41-3 in second half in just two games…
Kansas City @ San Diego -14
Chiefs already -79 in point differential…have not scored in the second half…KC is -9 minutes in TOP…-7 turnover margin…last 3 games in San Diego, Chiefs have been outscored 94-34…had just 67 yards total offense last time here…San Diego 6-2 SU and ATS last year…Mike Tolbert leads all NLF RB’s in receptions (17)…Phil Rivers has completed 70% of his passes, but has thrown 4 picks…has completed at least 3 passes to 8 different players…SD -5 turnover margin
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay -1
Falcons 5-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS vs T Bay since 2008…thru two games, Atlanta has allowed 800+ yards and 6+ yards per play…halftime adjustments?...Falcons have been outscored 35-10 in third quarter...Tampa Bay has outscored opponents 31-10 in second half…Buccs 77 passes, 35 runs…50% conversion rate on third down…T Bay just 5-12 SU at home since 2009…
Green Bay -3 ½ @ Chicago
Last five meetings decided by 7 points or fewer…Green Bay has not scored more than 21 points in last five games versus Bears…G Bay defense has allowed 952 yards in two games, incl 800 aerial yards…Aaron Rodgers has been sacked 7 times already…9 players have at least 2 receptions…Chicago has not scored in the fourth quarter so far this season…Bears have not scored or allowed a rushing touchdown…Jay Cutler has been sacked 11 times already…in 33 games as Bears QB, Cutler has been sacked 98 times!
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