Published on 09/29/11
By Spike Measer 9/28/11
Detroit @ Dallas -2
Last year it was Shaun Hill vs John Kitna when Dallas won 35-19 as 6 point home favorites…Romo has been sacked 6 times already, but Cowboys D has registered 13 on opposing QB’s (Ware and Spencer have combined for 8)…five receivers have at least 7 catches…Lions averaging less than 3 yards per carry, allowing 5.0…four players with at least 14 receptions, averaging 11+ yards per catch…Detroit has now won seven consecutibe regular season games dating back to Week 14 2010
New Orleans -7 @ Jacksonville
Saints averaging just under 100 yards per game rushing…New Orleans has five players with at least 10 receptions and one TD…Saints have scored at least 30 points in five of last seven road games…D has just one pick thru three games…Jacksonville has less than 800 yards of offense thru three games…Jags are -33 in point differential…Jax 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS vs non-conference opponents in 2010…4-6 ATS as home dog since 2007
Pittsburgh @ Houston -4
Steelers 7-2 ATS as away dog since 2008…17-17-2 ATS vs AFC opponents since ’08…12-11-1 ATS in all road games since ’08…Pitt is +450 offensive yards thru three games…Steelers averaging just 3.3 yards per carry…five players are averaging more than 14 yards per reception… Houston has identical 17-17-2 ATS record vs conference opponents since 2008…8-8-3 as home favorite in same span…Texans have scored at least 27 points in nine of their last 19 regular season games…35% of Matt Schaub’s completions have gone to Andre Johnson…Houston is +7 minutes in TOP…Texans D allowing 4.8 yards per rush
Miami @ San Diego -7 ½
Miami has won eight of nine games in this series dating back to 1999…Dolphins 16-5 ATS as road dog since 2008…eight of last nineteen regular season games decided by 5 points or less…’Fins have allowed just one rushing TD, but eight passing scores thru three games…Chargers are 9-6-1 ATS as home favorite since 2009 (SD has been a home dog just once in the last 6 seasons)…SD is 18-18-1 ATS vs AFC opponents since 2008…Phil Rivers 68% completions, but only 4 TD’s against 6 INT’s…RB Mike Tolbert continues to lead team in receptions…injury note: TE Antonio Gates could miss extended time with nagging foot injury
New England -4 @ Oakland
Patriots have scored 30+ points in eleven consecutive regular season games…13-9-2 ATS vs AFC opposition since 2009…4-6-1 ATS as road favorite since 2009…New England has outscored their opponent 55-24 in first half this season…Oakland, 2-1 SU so far, has won more than five regular season games just once since their Super Bowl season of 2002 (8-8 in 2010)…ten players have at least 2 receptions (RB McFadden leads with 11)…Raiders have registered ten sacks while allowing only two…Oakland has scored at least 28 points in six of their last eight regular season games…have outscored the opposition 54-23 in the first half this season
NY Jets @ Baltimore -3 ½
Ravens have held opposition under the 20 point mark in 13 of their last 19 regular season games…Baltimore has won five straight in this series dating back to 2000…Ravens 21-16-1 ATS vs AFC since 2008 (Joe Flacco rookie season)…14-7-1 ATS as home favorite over same span…Baltimore won 10-9 last year as one point road dog in season opening MNF contest…Jets 19-16 ATS since 2009 (Ryan/Sanchez initial seasons)…16-10 ATS vs AFC over same period…NYJ averaging only 3.4 yards per rush, while allowing 4.8…have allowed five rushing touchdowns thru three games (11 all of last year)
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